Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.1% | 90.9% | +12.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +15 (80-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rubit * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 24 | - |
| J. Carter * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| X. Roberson * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| W. Wright * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Anderson | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| M. Ammons | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 24 | - |
| F. Goldstein | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| A. Lundy | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dee Bost * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 43 | - |
| Rodney Hood * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Wendell Lewis * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Brian Bryant * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Deville Smith | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Steele | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Roquez Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Taylor Luczak | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Baxter Price | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyson Cunningham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Charles Parker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Reed Clayton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter