Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Richmond Spiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Richmond Spiders +10 (66-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Hinkle * | 38 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Troy Brewer * | 38 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Daniel Munoz * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Tony Wroblicky * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| John Schoof * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Blake Jolivette | 24 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Daniel Fisher | 15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Joe Hill | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Simon McCormack | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lindsay * | 32 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| D. Garrett * | 31 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| D. Williams * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 8 | - |
| F. Martel * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D. Brothers * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Anthony | 23 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 11-12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| G. Robbins | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Duinker | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| W. Sparrow | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Smith | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter