Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.5% | 91.5% | +13.1 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +1 (76-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sypkens | 34 | 7-15 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Howley | 32 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Josh Ritchart | 32 | 6-14 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Tyrell Corbin | 28 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Alex Tiffin | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Paolo Mancasola | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Les | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Ryan Silva | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Massey | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| R. Taylor | 33 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 11 | - |
| J. Stevenett | 31 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| R. Jones, Jr. | 31 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20 | - |
| W. Collie | 27 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| D. Heuir | 24 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Nsenki | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Jeffery | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Koehler | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter