๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2011-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Albany Great Danes Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 8.2% 91.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.4% 79.6% - โœ“
Margin 6.6% 93.4% +14.6 โœ“ (18.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.8% 96.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 3.6% 96.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.1% 76.9% - โœ“

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +33 (89-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Albany Great Danes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Logan Aronhalt * 35 5-11 1-6 2-2 5 0 1 1 3 13 6 -
Gerardo Suero * 33 4-9 0-1 9-16 6 1 1 1 2 17 15 -
Mike Black * 30 4-7 1-3 2-2 0 3 0 0 1 11 6 -
Luke Devlin * 26 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
John Puk * 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jayson Guerrier 21 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 3 2 -
Sam Rowley 12 2-3 0-0 2-3 2 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
Ralph Watts 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
Peter Hooley 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Blake Metcalf 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
Jacob Iati 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ashton Gibbs * 30 8-17 3-7 2-2 0 7 0 0 1 21 10 -
Travon Woodall * 28 9-13 5-7 2-2 6 10 2 1 3 25 28 -
Lamar Patterson * 26 2-5 2-3 0-0 7 6 1 0 1 6 14 -
Dante Taylor * 24 3-7 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 1 0 7 10 -
Nasir Robinson * 23 4-8 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 8 3 -
Khem Birch 17 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Cameron Wright 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Talib Zanna 14 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
John Johnson 13 3-5 2-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 8 3 -
Isaiah Epps 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Aron Phillips-Nwankwo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nick Rivers 2 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter