Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | UMass Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.1% | 95.9% | +17.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMass Minutemen +18 (85-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Koch | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Austin Hamilton | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Ryley Beaumont | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Drew Spradlin | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Lucas Troutman | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Jack Isenbarger | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Egheosa Edomwonyi | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brett Ervin | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Bonney | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Blake | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Roger Dugas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 32 | - |
| T. Vinson | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 29 | - |
| F. Riley | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Farrell | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| S. Carter | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 26 | - |
| S. Carter | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Morgan | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Lalanne | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Esho | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Putney | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Hill | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Player #52977 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter