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2011-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Central Connecticut Blue Devils Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Margin 23.1% 76.9% +6.6 โœ“ (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 33.8% 66.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 33.8% 66.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.8% 63.2% - โœ“

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +4 (73-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Central Connecticut Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ken Horton 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 4 2 21 32 -
Kyle Vinales 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 5 0 7 24 27 -
Robby Ptacek 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 7 11 -
Malcolm McMillan 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 5 -
De'Angelo Speech 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 1 7 -
Joe Efese 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 4 9 -
David Simmons 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 0 4 12 -
Shelton Mickell 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 2 5 -
Adonis Burbage 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 4 7 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reggie Willhite 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 6 2 2 21 38 -
Greg Mangano 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 1 1 2 2 23 38 -
Jeremiah Kreisberg 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 7 14 -
Michael Grace 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 3 9 13 -
Austin Morgan 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 7 9 -
Brandon Sherrod 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 1 4 -
Isaiah Salafia 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Sam Martin 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 3 5 -
Greg Kelley 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Javier Duren 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Jesse Pritchard 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brian Katz 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter