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2011-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 17.2% 82.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% - โœ“
Margin 12.8% 87.2% +10.5 โœ“ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.9% 86.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 12.5% 87.5% - โœ“

Actual: Colorado State Rams +6 (64-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Cherry 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 11 12 -
Kareem Jamar 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 12 21 -
Shawn Stockton 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 4 -
Eric Hutchison 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 3 4 8 -
Eric Hutchison 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 3 4 8 -
Michael Weisner 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 5 9 -
Mathias Ward 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 8 12 -
Art Steward 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 11 15 -
Jordan Wood 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
Billy Reader 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Jordan Gregory 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kevin Henderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pierce Hornung 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 2 1 1 10 24 -
Dorian Green 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 5 0 1 -
Jesse Carr 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 12 18 -
Wes Eikmeier 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 21 25 -
Greg Smith 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 14 21 -
Will Bell 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 5 6 -
Dwight Smith 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 5 -
Trevor Williams 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter