Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.9% | 97.1% | +19.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +21 (77-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris McNealy | 30 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Will Davis | 29 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Daman Starring | 27 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Mike Wilder | 27 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Collin Woods | 22 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Wright | 13 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Adam Folker | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mike Best | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Bradley | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Travis Souza | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Derick Flowers | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Crabbe | 30 | 10-19 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Smith | 30 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jorge Gutierrez | 27 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Harper Kamp | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Richard Solomon | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Justin Cobbs | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| David Kravish | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Emerson Murray | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Robert Thurman | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bak Bak | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Powers | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter