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2011-10-07

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 61.7% 38.3% -
Bradley-Terry 67.0% 33.0% -
Margin 57.9% 42.1% -1.8 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.7% 45.3% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream -6 (67-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Brunson 35 6-12 0-0 1-2 9 3 3 0 5 13 11 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 33 1-6 0-0 5-6 4 4 0 2 3 7 8 -
S. Augustus 32 7-12 0-0 2-2 5 4 1 0 3 16 11 -
L. Whalen 30 2-7 0-0 3-5 5 1 2 0 3 7 5 -
M. Moore 28 6-9 2-5 1-3 7 2 1 0 4 15 12 -
C. Wiggins 21 3-6 3-6 1-2 5 2 1 1 1 10 12 -
J. Adair 12 0-4 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 0 1 3 3 -
M. Wright 9 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. de Souza 35 4-14 0-0 3-6 15 0 0 0 2 11 10 -
L. Harding 34 1-5 0-0 2-2 1 7 1 0 1 4 7 -
A. McCoughtry 29 9-25 0-2 4-6 5 1 3 1 3 22 4 -
A. Herrington 29 3-7 0-0 0-0 5 4 5 0 2 6 11 -
S. Lyttle 28 3-9 0-1 2-2 8 1 2 0 3 8 7 -
I. Castro 21 4-12 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 9 -3 -
A. Bales 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 5 5 -
C. Miller 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 2 5 -

* = starter