Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.0% | 84.0% | +9.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +6 (101-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Harding | 40 | 7-20 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 36 | 10-22 | 2-6 | 16-21 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 25 | - |
| E. de Souza | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| I. Castro | 25 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 1-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| A. Bales | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Herrington | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Paris | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| C. Miller | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Augustus | 38 | 11-14 | 1-1 | 13-16 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 31 | - |
| L. Whalen | 37 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| R. Brunson | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 26 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Adair | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| M. Wright | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Moore | 16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| A. Harris | 6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter