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2011-04-04

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 3.7% 96.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.3% 78.7% - โœ“
Margin 15.1% 84.9% +9.5 โœ“ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 14.0% 86.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.5% 86.5% - โœ“

Actual: UConn Huskies +12 (53-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Howard * 37 1-13 1-6 4-4 6 0 1 0 0 7 1 -
Shawn Vanzant * 36 2-10 1-5 0-0 8 2 3 0 2 5 6 -
Shelvin Mack * 36 4-15 4-11 1-2 9 1 0 1 3 13 6 -
Andrew Smith * 29 2-9 0-0 1-2 9 1 1 1 1 5 7 -
Chase Stigall * 16 3-11 3-9 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 9 2 -
Ronald Nored 26 0-2 0-1 2-4 4 0 2 0 0 2 6 -
Khyle Marshall 8 0-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Zach Hahn 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Chrishawn Hopkins 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Garrett Butcher 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kemba Walker * 37 5-19 0-4 6-7 9 0 1 0 2 16 5 -
Jeremy Lamb * 31 4-8 1-2 3-4 7 2 1 1 1 12 14 -
Alex Oriakhi * 25 5-6 0-0 1-1 11 0 0 4 0 11 20 -
Roscoe Smith * 22 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 4 2 0 4 -
Tyler Olander * 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Shabazz Napier 27 1-6 0-2 2-2 4 2 2 0 3 4 3 -
Niels Giffey 24 1-3 0-1 2-2 6 0 0 0 2 4 5 -
Charles Okwandu 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
Donnell Beverly 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
Jamal Coombs-McDaniel 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter