Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -17 (86-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 38 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| M. Moore | 36 | 7-10 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 24 | - |
| L. Whalen | 35 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| S. Augustus | 32 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| R. Brunson | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Adair | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Wright | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 35 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| D. Bonner | 35 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 8 | - |
| P. Taylor | 32 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Johnson | 28 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| N. Sanford | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Swanier | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter