Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.2% | 85.8% | +9.9 | ✓ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +28 (95-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 33 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| P. Taylor | 28 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3 | - |
| C. Dupree | 26 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Johnson | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 25 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| N. Sanford | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 18 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| K. Swanier | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| K. Thomas | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Spencer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Brunson | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| S. Augustus | 30 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 28 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| L. Whalen | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Moore | 23 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| M. Wright | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Houston | 9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Adair | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Harris | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter