Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +8 (82-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Harding * | 40 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 37 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 32 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 17 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques | 25 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Alison Bales | 10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Coco Miller | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tangela Smith * | 35 | 9-15 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 24 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 33 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Erin Phillips * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 20 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter