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2011-04-02

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 47.5% 52.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.1% 62.9% - โœ“
Margin 47.9% 52.1% +0.5 โœ“ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 59.1% 40.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 59.2% 40.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 49.1% 50.9% - โœ“

Actual: UConn Huskies +1 (56-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Knight * 40 6-23 3-11 2-2 8 5 2 0 3 17 6 -
Terrence Jones * 38 5-8 1-2 0-5 15 1 4 1 2 11 22 -
DeAndre Liggins * 34 1-7 1-5 1-2 0 2 2 2 1 4 2 -
Josh Harrellson * 28 3-6 0-0 0-1 4 2 2 0 0 6 8 -
Darius Miller * 26 1-7 1-4 1-2 3 2 1 0 2 4 1 -
Doron Lamb 27 5-10 3-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 13 1 -
Eloy Vargas 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 4 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kemba Walker * 40 6-15 1-5 5-6 6 7 2 1 4 18 15 -
Jeremy Lamb * 38 5-8 0-2 2-2 9 4 0 0 2 12 15 -
Roscoe Smith * 29 3-6 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
Alex Oriakhi * 27 4-6 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 1 1 8 13 -
Tyler Olander * 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Shabazz Napier 27 1-7 0-4 2-2 2 4 0 0 3 4 0 -
Charles Okwandu 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 1 2 4 3 -
Jamal Coombs-McDaniel 9 1-3 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Niels Giffey 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
Donnell Beverly 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter