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2011-04-02

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 15.7% 84.3% -
Bradley-Terry 46.3% 53.7% -
Margin 49.6% 50.4% +0.1 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -
Efficiency 68.2% 31.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.4% 58.6% -
Log Adjusted 40.9% 59.1% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +1 (56-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Knight * 40 6-23 3-11 2-2 8 5 2 0 3 17 6 -
T. Jones * 38 5-8 1-2 0-5 15 1 4 1 2 11 22 -
D. Liggins * 34 1-7 1-5 1-2 0 2 2 2 1 4 2 -
J. Harrellson * 28 3-6 0-0 0-1 4 2 2 0 0 6 8 -
D. Miller * 26 1-7 1-4 1-2 3 2 1 0 2 4 1 -
D. Lamb 27 5-10 3-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 13 1 -
E. Vargas 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 4 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Walker * 40 6-15 1-5 5-6 6 7 2 1 4 18 15 -
J. Lamb * 38 5-8 0-2 2-2 9 4 0 0 2 12 15 -
R. Smith * 29 3-6 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
A. Oriakhi * 27 4-6 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 1 1 8 13 -
T. Olander * 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
S. Napier 27 1-7 0-4 2-2 2 4 0 0 3 4 0 -
C. Okwandu 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 1 2 4 3 -
J. Coombs-McDaniel 9 1-3 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
N. Giffey 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
D. Beverly 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter