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2011-09-19

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 42.2% 57.8% -
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% -
Margin 35.8% 64.2% +3.2 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% -

Actual: Seattle Storm -2 (75-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Dupree 39 10-15 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 20 6 -
D. Bonner 39 1-13 1-6 4-4 8 0 1 1 1 7 3 -
P. Taylor 36 6-11 1-3 6-6 17 1 2 0 3 19 25 -
D. Taurasi 30 6-16 1-6 6-6 1 3 0 0 2 19 5 -
T. Johnson 27 2-5 0-2 3-4 2 3 0 0 4 7 3 -
N. Sanford 25 1-1 0-0 3-3 6 0 0 1 1 5 10 -
K. Swanier 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Ferdinand-Harris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Bird 37 9-17 4-8 0-1 4 3 1 0 0 22 13 -
L. Jackson 35 6-13 1-4 5-8 2 0 1 1 3 18 6 -
S. Cash 31 3-11 2-5 1-2 10 1 2 1 2 9 10 -
K. Smith 30 0-9 0-6 2-2 6 4 1 0 0 2 4 -
T. Wright 29 7-13 1-3 2-3 3 4 2 0 4 17 9 -
L. Willingham 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
C. Little 13 3-4 0-0 1-4 4 1 0 0 4 7 4 -
A. Robinson 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

* = starter