Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +5 (69-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 37 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| A. Jones | 34 | 7-21 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 31 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. Greene | 24 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. White | 24 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| K. Lawson | 16 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Hightower | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. McCray | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Griffin | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Moore | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Harding | 38 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| A. Herrington | 34 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - |
| E. de Souza | 32 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 32 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 28 | 4-16 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| A. Bales | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| I. Castro | 14 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Miller | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter