Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 80.2% | 19.8% | -7.7 | ✗ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +9 (92-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sue Bird * | 35 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Camille Smith * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Lauren Jackson * | 27 | 3-11 | 3-6 | 5-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Tanisha Wright * | 23 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Katie Smith | 26 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Belinda Snell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 35 | 9-23 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 8 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 34 | 12-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 25 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 32 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Nakia Sanford | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Krystal Thomas | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter