Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -6 (90-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Wright | 26 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| S. Augustus | 22 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J. Adair | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| M. Moore | 20 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 20 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| L. Whalen | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| R. Brunson | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Houston | 13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner | 30 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 24 | 5-14 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 24 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - |
| K. Thomas | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Sanford | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Johnson | 18 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Swanier | 16 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| S. Spencer | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 10 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
* = starter