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2011-09-11

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 75.4% 24.6% -
Bradley-Terry 70.0% 30.0% -
Margin 60.7% 39.3% -2.4 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% -

Actual: Phoenix Mercury -6 (90-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Wright 26 5-9 1-1 4-4 3 6 1 0 4 15 12 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 24 5-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 10 8 -
S. Augustus 22 7-11 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 15 9 -
J. Adair 22 5-9 0-0 0-0 13 0 1 0 1 10 14 -
M. Moore 20 5-8 2-4 3-3 2 2 1 0 0 15 12 -
A. Hornbuckle 20 3-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 7 4 -
L. Whalen 18 0-4 0-1 0-0 6 5 0 0 3 0 4 -
R. Brunson 18 4-8 0-0 6-8 3 0 1 1 1 14 10 -
C. Wiggins 17 1-2 1-1 2-2 0 2 1 0 0 5 6 -
C. Houston 13 2-5 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 5 4 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Bonner 30 5-10 1-3 3-3 3 2 1 0 3 14 7 -
C. Dupree 26 5-10 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 1 0 10 10 -
D. Taurasi 24 5-14 4-8 5-6 5 2 0 4 2 19 14 -
M. Ferdinand-Harris 24 5-14 2-4 3-3 3 2 0 0 0 15 6 -
K. Thomas 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
N. Sanford 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 1 1 0 2 -
T. Johnson 18 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 3 0 1 1 8 8 -
K. Swanier 16 3-7 1-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 7 6 -
S. Spencer 12 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 6 7 -
A. Gray-Lawson 10 3-6 3-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 4 -

* = starter