Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +15 (85-70). Ratings: 2012 season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner * | 36 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 29 | 10-19 | 6-11 | 10-12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 17 | - |
| Nakia Sanford * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Krystal Thomas | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris | 14 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Alexis Gray-Lawson | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sidney Spencer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swin Cash * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 34 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Camille Smith * | 32 | 3-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Lauren Jackson * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tanisha Wright * | 22 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Katie Smith | 31 | 9-13 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Belinda Snell | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter