Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Shock | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.6% | 95.4% | +16.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +15 (91-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jackson-Jones | 38 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| A. Riley | 34 | 6-12 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| S. Swoopes | 30 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 26 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| L. Cambage | 23 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Holt | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Lacy | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| A. Olajuwon | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 30 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | - |
| C. Dupree | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 25 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 23 | 7-15 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 7 | - |
| K. Thomas | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Swanier | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| N. Sanford | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| T. Johnson | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 14 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| S. Spencer | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter