Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.4% | 91.6% | +13.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +18 (87-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Langhorne | 37 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 16 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 30 | 4-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 28 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| M. Currie | 24 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| N. Anosike | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Walker | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Gardin | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Miller | 11 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Coleman | 8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 35 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | - |
| K. Douglas | 34 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| T. Smith | 32 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| E. Phillips | 25 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Davenport | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Bobbitt | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Zellous | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Ely-Gash | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
* = starter