Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +11 (85-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 31 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 29 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 12 | - |
| A. Jones | 26 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Lawson | 24 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| T. White | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. McCray | 17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A. Hightower | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Greene | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Griffin | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Moore | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McCoughtry | 35 | 12-23 | 1-5 | 10-13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 35 | 25 | - |
| L. Harding | 33 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| A. Herrington | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| E. de Souza | 22 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Bales | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| I. Castro | 16 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| S. Irvin | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Miller | 7 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Paris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter