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2011-09-04

Model Predictions

Model Tulsa Shock Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 4.6% 95.4% -
Bradley-Terry 7.3% 92.7% -
Margin 4.1% 95.9% +17.3 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 9.7% 90.3% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream +21 (73-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tulsa Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Jackson-Jones 38 6-15 0-0 3-3 11 2 2 0 10 15 5 -
A. Holt 38 4-12 1-3 5-5 8 0 4 0 2 14 12 -
A. Riley 38 2-10 0-5 2-2 6 3 2 1 3 6 5 -
S. Swoopes 36 3-12 1-5 0-0 5 4 1 1 5 7 1 -
J. Lacy 34 3-12 3-7 0-0 5 0 1 3 1 9 5 -
K. Pedersen 6 0-1 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 1 0 1 5 -
K. Christmas-Kelly 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
L. Cambage 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
A. Olajuwon 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Harding 36 5-10 1-1 2-2 4 10 2 0 6 13 13 -
A. McCoughtry 29 7-15 2-2 3-4 5 4 2 3 3 19 15 -
S. Lyttle 27 4-7 0-0 2-4 2 3 4 1 1 10 12 -
A. Herrington 25 6-13 0-0 1-2 6 4 3 1 2 13 12 -
A. Bales 21 2-4 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 2 2 4 8 -
E. de Souza 19 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 1 6 4 -
I. Castro 15 0-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -3 -
C. Miller 15 3-6 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 2 -
S. Irvin 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 0 4 -
C. Paris 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter