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2011-09-04

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 53.6% 46.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 61.6% 38.4% - โœ“
Margin 46.9% 53.1% +0.7 โœ— (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 64.8% 35.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 64.8% 35.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.2% 49.8% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Sky -8 (80-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Catchings 34 5-10 1-1 6-7 7 6 1 1 2 17 20 -
T. Smith 32 2-4 1-2 2-2 3 3 0 2 1 7 10 -
K. Douglas 32 6-14 2-2 3-5 6 3 1 1 2 17 12 -
E. Phillips 27 5-8 2-3 4-4 1 1 2 0 3 16 9 -
T. Sutton-Brown 26 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 1 5 1 0 6 11 -
J. Davenport 18 6-10 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 1 3 14 6 -
S. Bobbitt 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
J. Pohlen-Mavunga 12 3-3 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 8 5 -
S. Ely-Gash 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Zellous 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Young 36 6-11 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 5 12 -1 -
Sylvia Fowles 33 7-13 0-0 1-4 9 3 0 0 3 15 11 -
Epiphanny Prince 28 7-15 2-5 5-6 3 6 2 0 2 21 15 -
D. Canty 27 2-10 0-1 0-2 2 3 2 1 0 4 2 -
E. Thorn 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 5 0 0 1 3 7 -
C. Swords 16 4-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 8 6 -
Courtney Vandersloot 12 2-3 1-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 7 5 -
C. Kraayeveld 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
M. Snow 10 1-1 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 1 1 6 8 -
L. Wisdom-Hylton 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 2 5 -

* = starter