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2011-09-02

Model Predictions

Model Seattle Storm Dallas Wings Spread Result
Elo 63.0% 37.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 63.0% 37.0% - โœ“
Margin 62.4% 37.6% -2.8 โœ“ (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 61.1% 38.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 70.2% 29.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 70.2% 29.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 56.5% 43.5% - โœ“

Actual: Dallas Wings -6 (72-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sue Bird * 36 7-12 4-5 3-4 3 5 0 0 0 21 17 -
Swin Cash * 29 5-9 1-2 2-4 2 3 1 0 3 13 7 -
Lauren Jackson * 28 8-15 0-3 4-4 5 0 1 1 2 20 10 -
Tanisha Wright * 27 3-6 0-1 1-1 5 5 0 0 1 7 10 -
Camille Smith * 24 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 3 6 7 -
Katie Smith 28 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 5 2 -
Le'coe Willingham 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 1 0 2 9 -
Ashley Robinson 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 4 5 -

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sheryl Swoopes * 36 3-7 0-2 0-0 3 6 1 0 1 6 8 -
Tiffany Jackson * 36 5-11 0-0 2-3 10 3 2 1 2 12 15 -
Amber Holt * 34 6-12 3-5 2-2 0 1 2 0 3 17 5 -
Jennifer Lacy * 28 5-8 4-4 4-5 0 1 0 0 1 18 10 -
Andrea Riley * 18 3-4 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 3 8 3 -
Kayla Pedersen 15 0-4 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 0 0 5 -
Liz Cambage 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 2 6 -
Karima Christmas-Kelly 14 3-10 0-3 3-3 0 0 0 0 0 9 -1 -

* = starter