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2011-03-29

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 78.5% 21.5% -
Bradley-Terry 44.5% 55.5% -
Margin 60.9% 39.1% -2.4 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.3% 46.7% -
Efficiency 32.7% 67.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.9% 45.1% -
Log Adjusted 53.2% 46.8% -

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes -1 (61-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Davis * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 5 11 -
C. Hines * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 3 1 2 8 19 -
T. Releford * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 4 0 4 13 22 -
T. Mitchell * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 2 0 1 8 17 -
J. Green * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 22 26 -
C. Hankerson Jr. 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
S. Hillman 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
B. Eblen 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Engstrom 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Knutson * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 14 19 -
A. Burks * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 1 2 20 30 -
C. Higgins * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 1 2 13 18 -
M. Relphorde * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 3 0 -
A. Dufault * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 2 8 -
A. Roberson 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 1 2 6 11 -
N. Tomlinson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 2 3 9 -
T. Beckley 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Sharpe 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter