Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✗ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -7 (69-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Knight * | 40 | 7-18 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| J. Harrellson * | 38 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| D. Liggins * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| T. Jones * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D. Miller * | 26 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Lamb | 25 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| E. Vargas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Hood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Strickland * | 37 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| K. Marshall * | 36 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| T. Zeller * | 36 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 21 | - |
| H. Barnes * | 34 | 7-19 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 5 | - |
| J. Henson * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| L. McDonald | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Knox | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Watts | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter