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2011-03-26

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 7.8% 92.2% -
Bradley-Terry 31.5% 68.5% -
Margin 11.6% 88.4% +11.2 (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% -
Efficiency 33.3% 66.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.3% 59.7% -
Log Adjusted 40.2% 59.8% -

Actual: Florida Gators -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Mack * 42 8-20 4-13 7-11 4 4 1 0 2 27 14 -
M. Howard * 40 5-12 1-6 3-6 5 2 0 0 1 14 8 -
S. Vanzant * 38 3-9 1-3 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 7 5 -
A. Smith * 25 1-2 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 1 2 3 8 -
C. Stigall * 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
R. Nored 24 0-2 0-2 4-4 4 0 0 0 3 4 3 -
K. Marshall 21 4-6 0-0 2-4 7 0 0 0 0 10 11 -
Z. Hahn 15 2-5 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
G. Butcher 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Hopkins 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 2 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Parsons * 43 2-9 1-3 0-0 7 2 2 0 1 5 6 -
A. Tyus * 41 6-12 0-0 2-2 10 0 1 2 1 14 14 -
K. Boynton * 40 5-9 1-3 6-7 4 3 1 0 1 17 15 -
E. Walker * 37 1-10 1-7 5-6 1 4 1 0 2 8 2 -
V. Macklin * 24 11-14 0-0 3-5 5 0 0 1 0 25 17 -
P. Young 19 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
S. Wilbekin 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
E. Murphy 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -

* = starter