Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | +6.7 | ✗ (23.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -17 (55-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Foster * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 37 | - |
| Evan Roquemore * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Troy Payne * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Marc Trasolini * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Ben Dowdell * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Michael Santos | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Niyi Harrison | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Raymond Cowels | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| John McArthur | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Walker * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Robert Nyakundi * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Jeremiah Samarrippas * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Collin Mangrum * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Papa Dia * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Harp | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Justin Haynes | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Aliaksei Patsevich | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Rodney Clinkscales | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Myles Luttman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter