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2011-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 40.5% 59.5% -
Bradley-Terry 36.7% 63.3% -
Margin 22.8% 77.2% +6.7 (23.7 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% -
Efficiency 93.9% 6.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.2% 25.8% -
Log Adjusted 73.6% 26.4% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs -17 (55-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Foster * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 4 35 37 -
E. Roquemore * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 2 10 -
T. Payne * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 15 23 -
M. Trasolini * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 4 12 -
B. Dowdell * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 7 12 -
M. Santos 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 8 -
N. Harrison 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 7 -
R. Cowels III 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
J. McArthur 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Walker * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 6 12 -
R. Nyakundi * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 0 1 14 25 -
J. Samarrippas * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 4 11 -
C. Mangrum * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 13 13 -
P. Dia * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 4 6 -
R. Harp 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 5 10 -
J. Haynes 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 1 0 9 15 -
A. Patsevich 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
R. Clinkscales 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Luttman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter