Model Predictions
| Model | Marquette Golden Eagles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +9.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +18 (81-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Butler III * | 36 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| D. Johnson-Odom * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -2 | - |
| D. Buycks * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Otule * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| E. Williams * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Crowder | 27 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Cadougan | 20 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Gardner | 18 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| V. Blue | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Fulce | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Jones | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Frozena | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Marshall * | 35 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| D. Strickland * | 34 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| J. Henson * | 32 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| H. Barnes * | 30 | 7-18 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| T. Zeller * | 27 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 26 | - |
| L. McDonald | 21 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Knox | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Watts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Dupont | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V. Hatchell | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Crouch | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Bolick | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Cooper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D.J. Johnston | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter