Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.4% | 49.6% | -0.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -7 (67-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Walker * | 40 | 12-25 | 4-8 | 8-10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 15 | - |
| A. Oriakhi * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| R. Smith * | 32 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| J. Lamb * | 30 | 9-11 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| T. Olander * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Coombs-McDaniel | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Napier | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Okwandu | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Beverly | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Giffey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. White * | 39 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| D.J. Gay * | 35 | 5-15 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 4 | - |
| M. Thomas * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 32 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| K. Leonard * | 29 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. Rahon | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Franklin | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Shelton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter