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2011-03-24

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 71.8% 28.2% -
Bradley-Terry 73.8% 26.2% -
Margin 50.4% 49.6% -0.1 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% -
Efficiency 23.4% 76.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.1% 34.9% -
Log Adjusted 65.5% 34.5% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -7 (67-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Walker * 40 12-25 4-8 8-10 3 3 2 0 4 36 15 -
A. Oriakhi * 35 2-7 0-0 1-2 9 2 0 1 2 5 8 -
R. Smith * 32 2-4 1-2 0-0 8 1 1 2 1 5 12 -
J. Lamb * 30 9-11 3-3 3-4 2 1 1 0 1 24 16 -
T. Olander * 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Coombs-McDaniel 24 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Napier 21 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 6 1 0 1 2 6 -
C. Okwandu 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Beverly 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Giffey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. White * 39 6-8 0-0 2-4 4 2 1 0 1 14 12 -
D.J. Gay * 35 5-15 4-9 2-3 4 0 2 0 3 16 4 -
M. Thomas * 33 6-11 0-0 1-4 8 3 0 0 0 13 13 -
C. Tapley * 32 2-10 1-7 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 5 -1 -
K. Leonard * 29 5-12 1-4 1-2 9 4 0 0 2 12 11 -
J. Rahon 18 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 2 -
B. Carlwell 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
J. Franklin 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
T. Shelton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter