Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Tulsa Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.2% | 15.8% | -9.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tulsa Shock -22 (74-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| D. Bonner | 32 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 27 | - |
| N. Sanford | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 24 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| T. Johnson | 23 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| K. Thomas | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 14 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Swanier | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Spencer | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Swoopes | 32 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| I. Latta | 28 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 10-10 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 26 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Holt | 23 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| L. Cambage | 20 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| J. Lacy | 14 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Riley | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Olajuwon | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter