Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -11 (61-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 33 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 33 | 10-18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jessica Adair | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Amber Harris | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Monica Wright | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Becky Hammon * | 35 | 1-12 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Ruth Riley * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 23 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 21 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 21 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 15 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Porsha Phillips | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter