Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -7 (79-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree * | 32 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 31 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 7-8 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Nakia Sanford * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 21 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris | 19 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Alexis Gray-Lawson | 8 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Krystal Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Langhorne * | 35 | 12-24 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 34 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Marissa Coleman * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Nicky Anosike * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 28 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kerri Gardin | 21 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Victoria Dunlap | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter