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2011-08-28

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 63.5% 36.5% - โœ—
Margin 57.0% 43.0% -1.5 โœ— (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 55.1% 44.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 69.4% 30.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 69.5% 30.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 53.8% 46.2% - โœ—

Actual: Seattle Storm +2 (65-63). Ratings: 2012 season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ticha Penicheiro * 36 5-11 1-4 4-5 10 4 1 0 6 15 13 -
Candace Parker * 34 7-13 0-2 5-5 14 2 2 5 3 19 26 -
Tina Thompson * 31 1-3 0-1 0-0 8 0 2 1 0 2 10 -
Kristi Toliver * 30 5-12 2-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 12 0 -
DeLisha Milton-Jones * 27 1-7 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 2 -2 -
Ebony Hoffman 18 4-9 3-4 0-0 2 1 0 2 1 11 6 -
Jantel Lavender 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Noelle Quinn 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jenna O'Hea 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Camille Smith * 36 5-8 1-1 2-3 6 2 0 1 0 13 14 -
Swin Cash * 35 4-11 1-3 0-0 7 2 1 0 1 9 7 -
Sue Bird * 34 2-12 2-7 6-6 7 4 5 0 2 12 14 -
Tanisha Wright * 32 4-8 3-4 3-5 2 1 3 0 1 14 11 -
Lauren Jackson * 27 5-13 0-2 4-6 5 0 0 2 0 14 8 -
Katie Smith 18 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Ashley Robinson 10 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
Le'coe Willingham 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter