Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +3 (95-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Taylor | 37 | 9-18 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 13 | - |
| C. Dupree | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 17 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 10-22 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 6 | - |
| N. Sanford | 26 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| T. Johnson | 26 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| D. Bonner | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Swanier | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Montgomery | 35 | 5-17 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| T. Charles | 33 | 8-20 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| A. Jones | 31 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| K. Greene | 28 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| K. Lawson | 26 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| D. McCray | 17 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Griffin | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. White | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Hightower | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Moore | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter