Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -2 (75-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiffany Jackson * | 40 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Sheryl Swoopes * | 35 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Amber Holt * | 35 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ivory Latta * | 31 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Liz Cambage | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Andrea Riley | 8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Abi Olajuwon | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 30 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 30 | 11-16 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea * | 20 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 17 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Natasha Lacy | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Noelle Quinn | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
* = starter