Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -3 (80-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry * | 35 | 6-17 | 0-1 | 10-13 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 34 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 30 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 30 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Alison Bales | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Coco Miller | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sandora Irvin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles * | 35 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Tamera Young * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince * | 20 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 23 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 23 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Dominique Canty | 18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Carolyn Swords | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter