Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -4 (82-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 8-13 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 28 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Noelle Quinn | 25 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 18 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Natasha Lacy | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Langhorne * | 45 | 13-23 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 42 | 5-16 | 0-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | -1 | - |
| Marissa Coleman * | 31 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 22 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Nicky Anosike * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 23 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Kerri Gardin | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter