Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.2% | 69.8% | +4.6 | ✗ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -4 (70-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Pierson | 38 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| N. Powell | 37 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 33 | 9-20 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 30 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| E. Carson | 20 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 19 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Q. Hollingsworth | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. Braxton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 37 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| P. Taylor | 31 | 4-15 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 28 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Bonner | 26 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| T. Johnson | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| N. Sanford | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 17 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| K. Swanier | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| K. Thomas | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter