Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +9 (96-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Herrington | 36 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| L. Harding | 36 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 34 | 7-20 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 14 | - |
| E. de Souza | 32 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Bales | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Miller | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| C. Paris | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| I. Castro | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Irvin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 33 | 9-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| A. Jones | 30 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 14 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 28 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| T. White | 26 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| K. Lawson | 24 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| K. Greene | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Hightower | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| D. McCray | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Moore | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Griffin | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Breland | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter