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2011-08-21

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 60.5% 39.5% -
Bradley-Terry 46.0% 54.0% -
Margin 34.3% 65.7% +3.6 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun +9 (96-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Herrington 36 3-10 0-1 6-8 5 4 4 0 2 12 13 -
L. Harding 36 5-13 1-3 3-5 4 9 1 0 3 14 12 -
A. McCoughtry 34 7-20 1-3 7-9 9 4 2 2 5 22 14 -
E. de Souza 32 7-13 0-0 3-4 10 3 1 0 2 17 16 -
S. Lyttle 27 4-8 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 8 7 -
A. Bales 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
C. Miller 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
C. Paris 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 3 5 -
I. Castro 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
S. Irvin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Charles 33 9-20 0-0 0-1 9 3 0 3 3 18 10 -
A. Jones 30 8-13 0-0 2-2 10 1 0 2 4 18 14 -
R. Montgomery 28 7-12 3-4 4-6 0 8 3 0 1 21 19 -
T. White 26 5-8 2-3 1-1 4 6 2 0 2 13 15 -
K. Lawson 24 3-4 2-3 3-3 3 2 1 0 0 11 13 -
K. Greene 20 1-5 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 4 5 -
A. Hightower 11 1-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
D. McCray 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
J. Moore 10 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 4 -
K. Griffin 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
J. Breland 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter