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Los Angeles Sparks 73
@
Tulsa Shock 67
2011-08-21

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Tulsa Shock Spread Result
Elo 76.4% 23.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 78.9% 21.1% - ✓
Margin 70.6% 29.4% -4.8 ✓ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 72.8% 27.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 82.1% 17.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 82.2% 17.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 62.0% 38.0% - ✓

Actual: Tulsa Shock -6 (67-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Milton-Jones 38 5-10 1-2 4-6 7 1 2 0 3 15 12 -
Candace Parker 36 9-14 2-3 3-4 9 1 2 2 3 23 20 -
T. Penicheiro 34 3-5 1-2 1-1 2 5 2 0 6 8 6 -
Kristi Toliver 31 4-12 3-9 3-3 3 3 0 0 0 14 8 -
T. Thompson 22 1-8 0-4 6-6 2 1 1 1 1 8 4 -
E. Hoffman 17 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. O'Hea 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
N. Lacy 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
Jantel Lavender 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
L. Sanders 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Tulsa Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Swoopes 37 6-12 3-7 2-2 6 2 1 0 2 17 12 -
T. Jackson-Jones 37 3-9 0-0 1-4 11 3 2 0 2 7 12 -
I. Latta 35 4-11 1-4 2-2 2 6 3 0 4 11 7 -
A. Holt 31 2-6 1-2 2-2 5 2 1 0 2 7 7 -
J. Lacy 26 5-10 1-2 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 13 5 -
L. Cambage 16 1-1 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 5 5 3 -
K. Pedersen 12 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 5 1 -
A. Riley 5 0-3 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter