Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -1 (70-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles * | 38 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Tamera Young * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince * | 31 | 4-19 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | -1 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 22 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 21 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Dominique Canty | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Carolyn Swords | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Langhorne * | 37 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Marissa Coleman * | 34 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 33 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 8-12 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Nicky Anosike * | 28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 14 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Kerri Gardin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter