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2011-08-20

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 36.4% 63.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% - โœ“
Margin 33.7% 66.3% +3.7 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 46.6% 53.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +1 (63-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pondexter 37 5-13 2-3 0-0 6 6 1 0 2 12 10 -
P. Pierson 34 5-13 0-0 5-5 5 1 1 1 3 15 7 -
N. Powell 33 2-5 2-4 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 6 8 -
E. Carson 29 5-11 2-2 0-0 5 0 2 0 4 12 4 -
K. Braxton 24 1-8 1-1 0-4 3 3 1 1 2 3 1 -
Kia Vaughn 22 5-9 0-0 1-1 5 0 1 0 0 11 8 -
Leilani Mitchell 21 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 3 7 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Bird 36 6-18 1-7 1-1 2 4 2 0 1 14 3 -
S. Cash 34 2-9 1-4 3-4 7 2 1 1 2 8 8 -
K. Smith 34 2-7 2-4 0-0 5 4 0 0 1 6 7 -
C. Little 31 3-7 0-0 5-6 5 1 0 0 3 11 7 -
L. Jackson 22 6-10 3-5 5-5 7 0 1 1 2 20 17 -
T. Wright 17 0-3 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 3 2 1 -
A. Robinson 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 2 5 -
L. Willingham 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter