Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.9% | 75.1% | +6.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +19 (87-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker * | 29 | 7-14 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 21 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 22 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 17 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Natasha Lacy | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Noelle Quinn | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| LaToya Sanders | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 26 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 23 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 16 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 23 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Monica Wright | 22 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jessica Adair | 19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Amber Harris | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Charde Houston | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter