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2011-08-19

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 24.7% 75.3% -
Bradley-Terry 39.8% 60.2% -
Margin 32.9% 67.1% +3.9 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream +6 (94-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Charles 35 6-13 0-0 3-5 11 3 2 5 8 15 15 -
A. Jones 33 9-24 0-2 3-3 9 0 0 0 3 21 3 -
K. Lawson 31 4-9 2-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 10 3 -
K. Greene 29 2-8 1-3 0-2 9 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
T. White 28 6-11 2-5 0-0 4 3 1 1 2 14 10 -
R. Montgomery 19 3-7 1-1 0-0 2 7 0 0 3 7 6 -
D. McCray 17 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 3 2 -
K. Griffin 12 1-4 0-0 3-4 11 0 0 1 1 5 12 -
A. Hightower 11 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 4 3 -
J. Moore 10 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 4 4 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Harding 43 10-14 0-0 1-1 1 5 2 0 1 21 14 -
E. de Souza 37 6-16 0-0 0-2 10 2 1 4 2 12 11 -
A. McCoughtry 36 9-22 0-3 8-12 12 4 3 2 1 26 24 -
S. Lyttle 35 7-10 1-1 5-6 5 3 2 1 3 20 18 -
A. Herrington 35 1-8 0-0 2-2 4 3 1 0 1 4 3 -
C. Miller 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -2 -
A. Bales 11 1-6 0-1 3-3 5 0 0 2 0 5 6 -
C. Paris 8 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
I. Castro 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter